Retail’s $10.9 Billion Smashes Long Term Average

27 July 2016

June figures eclipse five year average by 60 percent/$4 billion

Investors splashed out nearly $11 billion on Australian retail assets in the 12 months to June, smashing the five year average by $4 billion - a 60 percent rise - as a wide cross section of investors competed for available stock, according to Savills Australia’s latest research.

Savills National Head of Research, Tony Crabb, said investors had purchased property worth almost $11 billion, up 35 percent from the $8.1 billion recorded in the previous corresponding period, and up $4 billion on the $6.9 billion five year average.

Mr Crabb said all surveyed capital cities – Adelaide, Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney – recorded significant rises particularly New South Wales which was up $2 billion to $4.23 billion closely followed by Victoria ($2.6b up from $1.99b) and Brisbane ($2.7b up from $2.58b).

“This has been a massive result even given the tremendous investment market we have experienced over the last few years,” Mr Crabb said.

The figures include a number of major transactions involving Blackstone, Mirvac and Vicinity Centres. Blackstone purchased Vicinity Centre’s Rundle Place and 80 Grenfell Street in the Adelaide CBD in December for $400 million and a three-centre portfolio from Scentre Group for $655.5 million in August.

In May Blackstone also acquired Clifford Gardens in Queensland, together with Forest Hill Chase and Brimbank Shopping Centre in Victoria for $613.3 million, while Mirvac picked up Toombul Shopping Centre in Brisbane for $233 million.

The frenetic retail market looks set to continue into the next financial year with another six Vicinity Centres retail assets on the market and due to close this week, including Maitland Hunter Mall, Hilton Plaza, Monier Village, Tweed Mall, Wodonga Plaza, and Albany Brooks Garden. The properties have a book value of more than $200 million.

Savills National Director Retail Investments, Steven Lerche, said while there had been some very significant sales the figures nevertheless reflected a very strong market driven by a number of factors including pent up demand.

“The figures are huge and reflect significant pent up demand driven by retail property’s safe haven status amid continued global economic turmoil. Global cash has and will continue to find Australia a transparent market where it’s easy to do business,” Mr Lerche said.

“Over the next six months we will see a continuation of the strong demand but prospective purchasers are likely to find a severe shortage of stock with owners reluctant to part with their prized investments: where will they put their money if they sell?

“As a result we are going to see intense competition for any asset that comes to market and that will see falling yields continue to break records," Mr Lerche said.

He said any further interest rate cut by the RBA would add fuel to the fire.

View the Australian Retail Property Sales chart, showing growth between 2006 and 2016.

Mr Crabb said foreign investors were again prominent with 30 percent of purchases by value followed by private investors (22%), Trusts (24%) and Funds (12%).

“Foreign investors continue to play a key role in Australian property investment markets and while Australia continues to offer a safe, reliable and accessible investment destination, that will not change.

“Retail property has been particularly sought after due to both strong population and housing growth and the underlying value of the non-discretionary spend element,” Mr Crabb said.

Retail sales, 12 months to June 2016, at a glance:

  • Adelaide
    $534m down from $779m to June 2015 and up on the $397m five year average
  • Perth
    $871m up from $467m to June 2015 and up on the $735m five year average 
  • Melbourne
    $2.6b up from $1.98b to June 2015 and up on the $1.66b five year average 
  • Sydney
    $4.23b up from $2.28b to June 2015 and up on the $2.36b five year average 
  • Brisbane
    $2.7b up from $2.58b to June 2015 and up on the $1.78b five year average 
  • Totals
    $10.93b up from $8.08b to June 2015 and up on the $6.93b five year average

Key Contacts

Steven Lerche

Steven Lerche

National Director
Retail Investments

Savills Sydney

+61 (0) 2 8215 8929