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The Savills Blog

COVID-19: State of the Occupier Update - Lisbon

What is the current state of occupancy?

Most office occupiers are working from home, though a few companies are rotating their staff in the office. We expect to see physical occupancy levels below 15% considering that rotations are being done with roughly 85% staff working from home.

What are occupier clients asking about?

The most challenging situations for occupiers with contracts under negotiation have been completing deals on time when the landlord is paying for fit-out construction and the tenant is delivering. We see landlords and tenants doing their best to cooperate. For existing leases, tenants are trying to manage cash outflows and asking landlords for rent-free periods. For now, landlords seem to be reluctant to grant these.

What actions are being taken by:

OCCUPIERS?

Occupiers without time pressure are avoiding making decisions, and many are seeking rent relief or abatements from landlords. Occupiers are increasingly rethinking their space needs as they consider alternative work strategies.


LANDLORDS?

Most landlords are taking a “wait and see” approach as developers look to minimize risks on delivery timing. There is a general sentiment of uncertainty, and we expect rents to stagnate or trend downward near term.


DEVELOPERS / INVESTORS?

Developers & Investors that were in the middle of a transaction generally fall into two camps:

  • Opportunistic/low leverage – will complete the deals that they believe are undervalued.
  • Value-add/high leverage – will hold on new acquisitions due to uncertainty in the ability to raise rents, and highly leveraged companies are preparing to dispose of some assets where they can’t bring value in the short-term.

What opportunities do we see for occupiers?

There is some room to negotiate better terms as leverage shifts to tenants and away from landlords, where it has been for the last two years. Tenants will likely be able to command greater tenant improvement allowances in buildings where vacancy is on the rise. Occupiers should review their space requirements based on any changes because of a more permanent use of work-from-home flexibility. Force majeure clauses are being put in place to protect both occupiers and landlords from impacts of the pandemic. Occupiers can reduce some delivery risks by working with landlords to deliver space in stages, providing some space as "temporary" and then fitting-out the remainder of the space as the situation grows clearer.

Questions? Comments? More information?

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